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It's one of those things I've pondered for a while, but the evidence continues to support. There is no question that effective aerosol transmission is taking place-the argument is how important it is relative to other, more normal methods.

I'd argue that the macro-scale development of the pandemic is best explained by the interplay between the things we're doing to combat it, & the evolutionary response from an aerosol-spread virus.

For example, when much of the globe locked down in March of 2020, there was a rapid drop in transmission [thank God, because New York City was a prime example of what the pandemic would look like if no steps were taken whatsoever to reduce transmission]. We cannot discount the reality that there is a solution that can squash the spread of COVID-19, because in a future pandemic with a pathogen that is 10 or 30 times more deadly, we will have no choice to fully lockdown to prevent civilization-destabilizing losses of life.

The problem is that everything we've done since has been based on assumptions that don't play out in the data. We cannot endure through endless lockdowns, so any drastic measure has to allow time to figure out what a pathogen's properties are and then build a response based upon that information.

Public Health officials didn't do this. They ignored most warning signs about aerosol transmission and instead implemented the same basic measures that were taken in 1918-1919 against the Spanish Flu. COVID-19 isn't the flu, which if somehow missed at first should've been clear as soon as we began opening up and transmission continued at a lower level. A flu epidemic would have disappeared, but COVID-19 kept chugging along. During the last novel virus pandemic [H1N1] in 2009, virtually no schools closed, almost no one wore a mask, and once vaccine distribution began there was no resurgence.

COVID-19 entered October 1st ahead of H1N1's pace despite everything humanity did to fight it. I projected what the winter wave would probably look like, and it ended up following the exact path and intensity [just shifted 4-5 weeks forward in time, as the start of the wave was the truly unknown variable].

The salient detail is that I literally included ZERO variables related to masks, lock-downs, etc; that basically means that the overall impact of those things was nil. The fact that our public health officials have still made no adjustments to their tactics should be considered a criminally negligent injustice.

Aerosol transmission, in contrast, is a simple and direct answer. Everyone returns to school and work, and spends 8-10 hours a day in the presence of others, masked and socially distanced. The virus still spreads. It spreads more without NPI's, but not enough to justify the economic destruction. Masks can do something, but no cloth mask can overcome a cloud of virions that you sit in for two hours.

The result is that the pandemic continues unabated regardless of local variances in protection. That's what happened last winter, when Democratic states had the same outbreaks as Republican states with far fewer safety measures in place.

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In my view, air-conditioning makes it much much worse (low humidity, low temperature and central air handling units covering large enclosed building areas; repeatedly mixing and recirculating the air from many diverse return air sources into one air handling unit). Buses, trains, office buildings, retail shopping centers etc. This also then contributes further to viral mutant species swarm and viral recombination from many pre diabetic infected hosts. In my view the virus loves cold temp and low humidity and can spread outdoors significantly at 24 hour temps below 15 degrees Celsius on cold cloudy days where the UV is low. Building managers also unlawfully keep AC fresh air intake to an absolute minimum, often less than 5%, because of latent heat power costs resulting from humid fresh air intake (humid air costs the most kW/h to cool, because the AC system must first remove the moisture content which consists of latent heat of evaporation). Add to this the 30% interferon hit from alcohol consumption and the 50% interleukin hit from chronic obesity and the clonal expansion hit from age and you have a perfect combination. Remember, first determine the weakness of your enemy, then you can exploit it to your geopolitical advantage. Our weakness is Obesity, Age, Chronic Disease, Corrupt Politicians and Corporate Greed. When all this is combined with the typical western comforts such as air-conditioned enclosed buildings - bingo - you have your perfect biological attack vector. Welcome to Next-Gen Geopolitical Warfare. What is the solution? Lose the fat, lazy and corrupt western lifestyle - and otherwise bend-over and cop the corona medicine. Every other attempt will only add further unwanted selective pressure and make the problem worse. Sometimes, in life, the other side wins - and you have to simply take what comes.

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It is relatively cheap and easy to add UVC sterilization and ionizers to existing air handlers, speeding up overturn would be helpful but cost more to change fan speeds or increase fans.

Heat recapture systems and additional filtering could be mandated for all system upgrades.

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I would love to share this with friends and family, but they would only view me as some anti-mask, anti lock down, conspiracy nut. I doubt they could read this and comprehend that just about every action we have taken has been a further acceleration of the pandemic.

Could you elaborate on the concept as kids as a buffer? I think I understand why but I’m not 100.

Another thing to note is the virus’ preferred climate, cold and low humidity. That sounds more like the climate of a lab than a bat cave in SE Asia doesn’t it?

I will try anyways. I have enjoyed reading your material since i first stumbled upon you last week.

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If you send an email to chrixey@protonmail.com, I can write a brief introduction that explains my expertise in this area. I am an expert on the history, development, employment and protection against biological weapons, especially anthrax. I'm also an expert in the various methods used to model the spread of such weapons.

I mention anthrax because it is the primary agent that was weaponized on an industrial scale. And by 'weaponized,' I mean aerosolized, because that is the most efficient way for it to infect targeted individuals.

I am also an expert on masks, which is why I know so much about the efficacy of masks and filters. The only perfect protection against ANY aerosolized [natural or artificial] particle would be level A [fully encapsulated mask and supply of air within a Level-A suit]. The only allowable environment for testing/experiments is a BSL-IV lab, which typically uses level A with hoses rather than a portable SCBA, combined with negative-pressure airflow systems.

I should also note that that my entire family is vaccinated with mRNA vaccines. My beef is with scientists who won't support the truth - I'd hope that if Congress trusts my judgment and analysis, your family should find me worthy of trust.

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Why would you take the mRNA vaccines? Would you do that over knowing what we know now?

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Because I took them before the news started to emerge that they had covered up all of the bad effects. The bio-distribution study that Briddle exposed didn't hit til just after I'd gotten my second dose.

My 14 year-old son had already received his first dose at that point; I refused to let him get the second one

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So are you asserting that the public health measures themselves are putting selection pressure on the covid virus to evolve into strains that spread better by aerosol and are able to survive being wafted around over longerdistances and survive for longer periods of time? Its makes sense if one understands how natural selection works. Also the leaky vaccines are selecting for strains that would escape the immune response to the original variant. We could be unintentionally creating superbugs

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That is my assertion, yes - in part. It seems probable that the exponential increase in virions is a direct adaptation to our social distancing and masking protocols. After all, Delta had already appeared by the time that vaccines were available in large-scale quantities.

In addition to the 'leakiness' of the vaccines that you mentioned, the continued use of the wild-type spike protein [from the earliest sequences] effectively suppressed all of the competing strains in each country with a substantial vaccination %. Those two aspects alone are a bad combo, but the increased number of virions makes it harder to differentiate between rising case/death statistics being the result of vaccine escape or the sheer number of virions overwhelming a vaccine-induced response.

Knowing the answer is incredibly important, because it would help us to truly recognize vax escape & [if needed] shift the focus of our mitigation strategies from a matter of distance to a matter of time.

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Geert Vanden Bossche seemingly agrees with you, IF I understand his explanations at all. I think his last missive said it would only be a matter of time until a variant both more infectious and more lethal would arise, due to selection pressure in the vaxxed, and that we MUST stop the vax yesterday. I think it was unconscionable to mix the first variety into the bivalent. As it is, they are blaming all deaths on the virus rather than acknowledging the damaged immune and organ systems from the vax.

Given that Fauci made a statement in August that the unvaxxed should have to be masked and distanced again this winter (I assume despite immune status), how you think that will play in the dynamic you have described.

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If one understands evolution and nT selection this makes sense except viruses also tend to “attenuate” that is bcome less virulent over time. So ultimately what will happen is decided by a tug o war between these two forces

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That is the only thing I could ever remember, is the viruses got milder over time, until we got to this first-ever non-sterilizing vax in the middle of a pandemic. It's tailor made for immune mischief, and a steep learning curve for those of us who weren't biologists to begin with.

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Thats true. What was particularly horrifying for me as a someone who works in healthcare is that this shot is not sterilizing and was not developed to be. In fact it never could be and yet all the doctors and administrators of hospitals and science deptartments pushed it anyway and coerced ppl into taking it and insisted that healthy not at risk adults had to tske it or else they would put eveyone else at risk.

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This topic has come up at a small 8,000 sq. ft. sience & discovery center I'm on the board for, in regards to whether we should enforce a strict "Masks Only" or instead a "Masks Recommended" policy. I'd very much appreciate it if I could get professional insights on this given what you've concluded in your research!

For our small center we have a new HVAC system with a regularly maintained HEPA filter, but I've observed when we operated a fogger machine during Halloween how quickly the 8,000 sq. ft. space would fill with an aerosol haze. Given that each person at our center (usually around 20 people during peak hour) will expel over 400 liters of aerosols per hour, with or without masks, is there science in our case to suggest that masks would act enough as a prophylactic to guarantee prevention of transmission?

I feel like given the small space, pervasiveness of aerosols (even with masks), and the inability to prevent *enough* inhalation to prevent an infection, that masks aren't realistically going to help.

Could I get any thoughts or insights on this? Feelings aside, scientifically, will masks help *enough* in our case to ever prevent an infection?

Thanks!

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In part, this depends on how long students would be in the 8,000 square foot area.

I've conducted training in confined spaces, collapsed structures, etc., and typically the fog is denser than any quantity of virions would behave like, as long as there was some minor level of air circulation.

Another key point is that most people are NOT super-spreaders, and kids have a somewhat higher immune threshold due to different levels of TMPRSS2 expression in their lungs - thus, what you're really trying to combat is a small fraction of your total attendees, and once again the best method is via time & diffusion.

The humidity of the air also plays a role; colder, drier air helps aerosol particles travel farther and stay airborne longer, and somewhat ironically the fogger could stabilize the air from the other end of the scale [a few years ago, an outbreak of Legionnaire's disease was fueled by the spray-misting devices used to cool visitors down at Walt Disney World].

All of that might sound complicated, but the goal is simply to not stuff large numbers of kids into small, dry spaces with no airflow, which is likely not the majority of what they'll be doing. The number one place transmission likely occurs is the bathroom, where most people aren't focused on time [and where kids are likely to snag a little bit of time without having to wear a mask]. Obviously, adults are more likely to spend longer in the bathroom, and in both cases the risk is often highest.

A simple sign on the bathroom doors that warned about the increased risk may have prevented millions of mild symptomatic cases over the last 21 months.

The other best practice would be to purchase a couple of inexpensive air purifiers, that could be strategically placed anywhere that a group of people might typically congregate.

The methods at this website [ https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/diy-vs-blue-air/?rel=1

are very effective, and very inexpensive.

The basic option tested is literally a box fan with a HEPA filter strapped to the front. It's a serious recommendation, based on techniques poorer Chinese citizens have used for many years [including during the pandemic].

A handful of well-placed fans/filters/etc., a high-quality HEPA filter on your main HVAC and better time awareness in bathrooms would go a long way. If those things are implemented, a mask recommendation should suffice for your visitors. A safe environment for you and your guests is ultimately the best you can do.

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Thank you for posting about the air filters, I just have time to add that to my purifier plans before vaxxed company arrives.

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I am lucky enough to have natural immunity, but will soon be visited by a 4x vaxxed relative. I have purchased this air purifier product for my home. I got the optional ionizer feature. It comes in commercial sizes too, and they give advice on siting the unit for best coverage: https://www.westonscientificllc.com/

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Good stuff, love the Einstein references. FYI- search ‘lest’ in your article, I think it should be ‘least’.

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Michael Osterholm, an American epidemiologist, Regents Professor at the University of Minnesota School of Public Health, and director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, stated very early on in the pandemic on the minnesota public tv program Almanac that he knew within the first two weeks of January 2020, (by Jan 11, 2020 comes to mind) that sars-cov-2 was spreading via aerosol transmission with all manner of implications.

Then, to me, it appeared he put his tail between his legs and headed for the hills because he told this truth contradicting "the narrative".

Osterholm knew very early - officialdumb must also have known.. I noted that in those early days fauci was saying masks were not needed for the public. fauci well knew the plan was for no availability of N95 masks - western governments had been destroying expired N95 and not replenishing their strategic stockpiles of N95 - the tiny US stocks were expired. fauci had just not yet been clued into the bogus masking recommendation plan.

I took such note of Osterholm's revelation that I called in to the local Secret Service office and left the message that they needed to listen to what Osterholm was saying, as it surely was necessary to understand for their proper protection of trump. I informed them how obvious it was, that without procedure changes, trump would get covid - which he later did. trump's Oct 2020 covid case showed that active, Real, asap covid treatment for those in the high risk category worked, and confirmed Dr Zelenko's letter dated March 23, 2020 addressed "To all medical professionals around the world:" which outlined Dr Zelenko's covid treatment protocol and its demonstrated, "pandemic" stopping, early outpatient treatment effectiveness for high risk covid patients.

Dr. Zelenko's letter was cc to "cc: President Donald J. Trump; Mr. Mark Meadows, Chief of Staff" and trump publicly acknowledged Dr Zelenko and Dr Zelenko's protocol at the time and trump did nothing to help Americans get access to early outpatient covid treatment

ps. fully vaxed and boosted boosted "narrative" purveyor Osterholm slipped up and got covid and was very sick for 4 months. He is now trying to protect himself with more shots and pushing shots for all - even the 6 month old baby.

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